Futures

Things I think are early.

Bets, not predictions. A few are already happening quietly; most will sound obvious in a few years. Ask me how they aged.

  1. The bottleneck in software is no longer typing code — it’s taste. Knowing what to build, and what to delete, becomes the scarce skill.

  2. Most application state turns per-user and ephemeral. The single big central database is a 2010s habit we’ll quietly retire.

  3. Every serious company becomes an operator of agents. Org charts grow a row for software that doesn’t sleep.

  4. Interfaces get generated on demand — per person, per moment. The fixed “page” was a printing-press hangover.

  5. The edge stops being an optimization and becomes the default place code runs.

  6. Owning your own tools again — your editor, your home directory, your agents — turns back into a real advantage.